12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi there, everyone. By now “youre supposed to” know where the top 130 list is, so let’s get right to this. Kiley will be along shortly.
12:02
Jared: Who are some potential high leveraging RP’s in the upper adolescents, with big stuff? Eric( not sure who’s doing the conversation) gave me a good register last year at this time that included Jose Alvarado.
12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: That listing you’re referring to was last year’s Picks to Click article, and this year’s copy of it slips tomorrow.
12:03
Jackson: Swaggerty: is it his security that positions him so high? Highest grading I’ve seen from a publication.
12:04
Eric A Longenhagen: CF with rate and dominance, his tools belong there. You could indicate the shake issues should push him down toward the other capability/ speed CFs with contact publishes, but whose bat are you betting on improving, the new guy or someone like Monte Harrison who hasn’t realise much progress over several years?
12:04
Jim Bob Cooter: Why you guys so down on Franklin Perez? Is a lat harm now considered serious or something?
12:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Not on it’s own, but that isn’t exactly the only trauma Perez has had and it isn’t as if he’s got# 2 starter substance and belong on there regardless. Healthy Perez is probably just a 50.
12:06
Jackson: Yordan Alvarez didn’t grade after being high-pitched in your mid season register. What supernatural did Keith Law whisper in Eric’s ear? But for real, that’s a huge sway. What do you see now that you didn’t eight months ago.
12:08
Eric A Longenhagen: We re-shuffled last year’s final inform a little bit and mailed it around to crews for feedback and they almost all said to move him down, that they had him in as a DH-only.
12:08
Nicky: Thanks for your work. Desire the NotKATOHGraphs. Remembering the failure frequency for pitchers is frightening.
12:09
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks, I consider those more a conceptual work in progress that needs refinement rather than a finished product, but I do think it’s useful to explain that, even within the same FV tier, these guys have varied possible sequels. And I recollect the most wonderful behavior to show it is visually.
12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: Somewhere on my phone I have the initial cocktail napkin gleaning of the bar graph that I sent to Kiley. It’s like two years old. Sean kickings ass and may it come to life.
12:10
Cosmo: More likely to cranny the top 25 next season: Ronny Mauricio or Oneil Cruz?
12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll say Cruz.
12:10
Carl: Which raise plans are poised to help their major league crews to a greater position than prospect rankings would indicate? And why are the Brewers among other issues?
12:12
Eric A Longenhagen: Like this year? Yeah I could see Milwaukee. St. Louis is the first that came back memory, though.
12:14
Walter Sobchak: Which promise would get the biggest FV bump if fencings were moved in by 5 paws in all ballparks?
12:15
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s probably an Eli-Ben Porat question since he’s good at doing batted ball interval stuff
12:15
Jeb: The ethic of a 50 FV prospect is more than$ 5M. So in the instances of Jasson D, why weren’t the Yankees outbid? Others perhaps don’t think he is a 50? Yankees were willing to commit$ 5M when he was less than a 50? Something else?
12:16
Eric A Longenhagen: Kitty gap is hard-capped, it’s not easy to just outspend when a person blows most/ all of their fund on one guy.
12:16
Kiley McDaniel: Kiley has arrived!
12:17
Bubbles: Is Kansas City’s lack of representation in the Top 100 time such matters of large quantities of talent with upside that you’re not quite ready to perform that startle with, or a lot of high-pitched flooring/ low-pitched ceiling forms?
12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: They only got a lot of high probability or thunder/ failure 45 FVs sorts. Like, a good deal. Their plan isn’t bad exactly because nothing of their chaps are on now. We had Melendez around 70 on original draft and feedback said to move him down/ off because of the K’s.
12:18
Jay: Is the Kyle Hendricks comp inspecting more and more realistic for Paddack?
12:18
Eric A Longenhagen: No, Paddack’s fastball is much harder.
12:19
Baloney Bologna: The chart of the Albies, Brujan … Marcano potentially type seems to be one that has piloted for the purposes of the radar … until the last couple of years. Any plans on the reasons why expectations with that sketch tends to pop up out of a related nowhere?
12:20
Kiley McDaniel: Well, traditionally smaller guys have lesser implements and no strength and there haven’t been numerous that have been All-Star caliber musicians. With many advancements like at-bats, dance, jives, forte training, etc. it dedicates them a chance to become real players. Perhaps also doesn’t hurt to have shorter levers when everyone is throwing 95
12:20
DJ Tanner: With all the publicity on Marco Luciano, even though he is not on such lists, is it basically he needs to stumbled a ball in a pro conference consistently and he immediately rushes on?
12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I just wanna ascertain more of him at shortstop to be confident he bides there, because the int’l amateur place didn’t think he would. He’ll be a 45+ FV on the Monster list.
12:21
Kiermaier’s Piercing Lettuce Looks: Does the advertisement that McKay will now be on a six day schedule with 1 pitching, 4 DH, one off change anything for him?
12:22
Kiley McDaniel: Not really, we wrote week ago in his report that it felt like an Ohtani-type outcome where he’s a gyration starter with a DH fit. If he was able to reached those 60 smacked/ superpower projections from the draft, he wouldn’t be much worse than Ohtani.
12:22
The Kid: What should we originate of the super low-grade slant rate on Ian Anderson‘s curveball? Will it emerge more hittable as he clambers the adolescents. Genuinely curious as is well below breaking ball spin rates of most major leaguers/ top prospects.
12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: I wouldn’t worry about it too much. It’s been a well-regarded tar, visually, for his part busines and it is effective against hitters. He may be a high spin-efficiency guy and it has tumble because of that. We actually don’t know.
12:23
Zihuatanejo: There seems to be a lot of volatility in estimations for Verdugo. Is the main issue for him strength estimate or something else?
12:24
Jim Bob Cooter: So JB Bukauskas is graded practically 40 recognizes lower than Corbin Martin despite having better material( literally) across the board and the same require gradation? I don’t get it
12:24
Eric A Longenhagen: How confident are you that Buk’s stuff maintains with a starter’s workload the mode Martin’s does? His material was down belatedly during his junior time at UNC, his transmission is more violent. It’s a confidence edition , not stuff.
12:24
Kiley McDaniel: I remember most scouts/ consultants have him as about the same actor going forward — a right fielder than can fill in for CF in short stretches, raw power but more contact-based doublings guy — but we’ve heard for years the makeup is below average and colors him down for that reason in the past, we’re just colors even more now that roots are more insistent that it could bang him contacting his potential and looking to other Dodger prospects in agreements. There’s a rationalization he wasn’t mentioned in the Realmuto stuff and Ruiz, Smith, May and Lux were.
12:25
Walter Sobchak: Does the likely additive of fifteen new DH chores meaningfully feign the course in which bat-only plodders will be evaluated?
12:25
Eric A Longenhagen: Yes and we actually came feedback that was like,” move down Alonso, Calhoun, Alvarez, etc UNLESS the universal DH is implemented .”
12:25
Kiley McDaniel: and Josh Naylor is also available the most difficult beneficiary since SD likes him and Hosmer ain’t going anywhere
12:26
Kiley McDaniel: and Naylor is like a 30 left fielder
12:26
Frank Menechino: In the Sean Murphy write-up:” his waver has been very compact, relying on Murphy’s fresh strong rather than efficient biomechanical push .” I always believed a compact shake symbolized an efficient one, as in short to the chunk with your at-bat path…
12:27
Kiley McDaniel: Yes, this is ideal. If you are strong enough and/ or have enough natural at-bat rapidity to create influence with out big disconnect/ hand load, you’re in the best recognize to hit for average and power
12:27
Walter Sobchak: I desire my mothers. They came to visit for Christmas, and we had a lovely week. I anticipate I might have been more excited for prospect week. Thanks guys.
12:28
Walter Sobchak: The Monstars just acre on Earth. Instead of the Loony Theme, they demand to play basketball against a crew from the Fangraphs top 100 ish potentials. Who are our starters?
12:28
Eric A Longenhagen: Monte Harrison, Corbin Martin, MacKenzie Gore, Matt Manning, Jo Adell
12:29
Tom Brady Anderson: I witness Shed Long very recently rolled as a 50 FV — any intellect he didn’t compile today’s inventory?
12:29
Kiley McDaniel: I’d include AJ Puk in that hoops unit and likely Kelenic as the 6th person to come in and perhaps throw a few elbows
12:30
Eric A Longenhagen: we seem to have had a coding issue that skipped Shed and Tony Santillan, will cook after the schmooze. They were both 50 FVs on the Reds list, so clearly they should be on here.
12:30
Kretin: Eric and Kiley, thanks for all you do! You had Jose Suarez ranked higher than Griffin Canning. What were your thoughts behind this? Is Canning’s medical history accommodating him back from grading higher?
12:30
Eric A Longenhagen: No we are only desire Suarez
12:30
Cole: How open was Jose Soriano to surpass 100 consideration?
12:31
Eric A Longenhagen: Will be a 45 FV, same as last year.
12:31
@Holes_in_my_Sox: Love the work and the brand-new setup, maybe the most in depth index I’ve seen. Dustin May: with what looks like a 15% luck for 70+ FV is this mainly dependent on the continued development of his slider or a combination of all the other lurches?
12:31
Kiley McDaniel: Actually precisely maintain doing what he’s doing, remain healthy and make the incremental increases at all levels and. It’s not the same as Walker Buehler, but the impact could be comparable
12:32
Enrique: Will any future essays/ podcasts highlight the prospects that you guys differ most on? Any judged to come forward with liberating your individual registers?
12:32
Eric A Longenhagen: That sounds like literally 200% more work
12:32
Sam: Just in terms of ceiling, because this can be apples to oranges, but how does Jasson Dominguez compare to former top IFA’s in recent years?
12:33
Kiley McDaniel: I can look to Eric on this, very. I study Wander Franco is the only other 50 FV J2 people before he played a pro recreation in recent recall, right?
12:33
Kiley McDaniel: Maitan was close, I bet Sano might have been
12:33
Kiley McDaniel: Gary Sanchez was probably a 45/45+
12:34
Kiley McDaniel: I ponder Vlad was a 45 b/ c of the frame and we needed to see rendition, but then he made a huge climb after his pro debut
12:35
Weenie: Nearly how many of the top 130 have you guys find play in person?
12:35
Eric A Longenhagen: really weighed 113
12:35
Yogi: Is catcher back? Been so long since a group of young well rounded catchers have came up
12:35
Eric A Longenhagen: yes
12:35
Keith: How is Brady Singer not on this list? Obviously dumb parties putting together this list.
12:36
Weenie: You guys use 35+, 40+, and 45+, but your 46 -1 30 graded people are all 50′ s. Have “youve been” considered exercising a 50+ for the top guys in that group?
12:36
Kiley McDaniel: Thanks for speaking! You can go over here and read he was the top 45+ in the draft and I think he’ll be a 50 where reference is be seen to what extent he integrates his changeup into recreations. So literally as close as you can be. https :// www.fangraphs.com/ prospects/ the-board/ 2018 -mlb-draft? sorting= -1, 1…
12:36
Eric A Longenhagen: Weenie: Yeah but we figured the dispensation graph get at what the+ is trying to convey
12:36
YO: How was Lux able to have such enormous solutions last year with precisely a current 25 on his hit implement?
12:38
Eric A Longenhagen: present hit tools are standardized: Advanced teenages are a 20, improved ones are a 25, advanced college aged hitters are a 30, advanced ones are a 35. Once someone has a lot of time in the upper positions we just say what we think it’d be right now. Lux should actually have a 35 as he’s boosted for his age.
12:39
Eminor3rd: Could you develop a bit more on the mistakes you mentioned in Eloy Jimenez‘s write-up? Specifically RE: form sizing, hurt proneness?
12:39
Eric A Longenhagen: Forgive me but I ponder scheduling his entire hurt record in the writeup is nice elaborate.
12:39
Jay: Joyous to look Tirso Ornelas getting some adoration! Do you think he could punch 25 bombards a year in his future?
12:39
Eric A Longenhagen: yes if the filch keeps coming
12:40
Tom Brady Anderson: why is Eloy down at 8, why did Whitley jump to 4?
12:40
Kiley McDaniel: moving towards more RHH DH and moving more towards legit ace
12:40
ohioastrosfan: when do we expect vlad jr? Will he be up three weeks in?
12:41
Kiley McDaniel: i’d bet it’s the 11 days Acuna made last year. A magical extent of time to improve!
12:41
Matt: If Jasson dominguez was on the directory now where would he be?
12:41
Kiley McDaniel: We didn’t disappear thru the employ yet, but he isn’t the last chap and may actually crack the top 100
12:42
AJ: Can you apply us a got a couple of names that aren’t in the top 100 consideration this time, but have a good chance to arriving within top 50 this time next year?
12:42
Kiley McDaniel: We will do that tomorrow in our collects to sounds article
12:42
Kiley McDaniel: https :// blogs.fangraphs.com/ heres-some-lower-ranked-prospects-we-love /
12:42
Kiley McDaniel: Here’s last year’s roll. We did pretty good!
12:43
Eric A Longenhagen 😛 TAGEND
Would you folks like it if we had an option of picturing amateur musicians desegregated into the pro guys on The Board?
Yes( 60.4% | 136 votes)
No( 32.4% | 73 votes)
What’s The Board?( 7.1% | 16 elects)
Total Polls: 225
12:43
greg: Tony Santillan was rostered as a 50 FV on the Reds list, but didn’t show up on the top 130. Was there a common deciding influence on people rostered as 50′ s but not included on such lists?
12:43
el Guapo: Strange how much scheduled elevations and weights get updated. Is that altogether “il rely on” squads for that info. Weight gain is an obvious lesson where those numbers are possibly off some( Gohara 240) but I’m actually questioning more in terms of altitude and especially for SPs. Seems like with younger potentials that ratify at 17 -1 8 by the time the objective is 22 are their true-life elevations wondered or is that still what they ratified at? Seems relevant for that 5-11 person who is now 6-2/ 6-3 in terms of administering a starter’s load.
12:44
Kiley McDaniel: Specially for Latin players, they are generally don’t change from when they signal( about 16) to when they reach the bigs( sometimes 6-7 years later)
12:44
Eric A Longenhagen: precisely reposting so beings precisely assembling know: Santillan and Shed are on there and got lost during database importation, we” ll give after the chat.
12:44
Comparitives: More of an statement question: The top 100 roll is meant as a real life grading structure more than a fantasy top 100 redres?
12:44
Eric A Longenhagen: yes
12:44
tommyboy: In the Taveras writeup, you mentioned that countless scouts/ execs told you to move down your directory. Were they telling you to move him down from 94 or did you bump him down to 94 as a result of their feedback?
12:44
Eric A Longenhagen: the latter
12:44
Eddy: Isn’t there a nervousnes of having teams sway you one way or another on potentials because you go to them for their ruling? Can you clarify whether you are rely on them as opposed to your ogles? Seems like there could be some conflict of interest
12:45
Kiley McDaniel: We’re very aware of this and have found over period which roots are trustworthy and likewise scouts that have a better track record than others, even with specific styles of musicians. There’s pretty easy ways to crosscheck rulings we get that seem astounding, but sometimes they end up checking out
12:45
Big joe Mufferaw: The yankees have been awesome at trading expectations that turn into “nothing” and continuing potentials that turn into very good actors( dangerously, since the Cashman regime made over, look at the track record ). Does that impact your rolls at all?
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: Likely subconsciously but it’s not a driving force behind how we pipeline chaps up.
12:45
Kiley McDaniel: Like if I talked to one chap about Jasson Dominguez, I would assume he wasn’t that good, but after 4-5 chaps give me about the same fib we realize that guy is maybe legit
12:46
Weenie: Singer get picked 18 th overall. 50 FV’s don’t go that low. Obviously clueless guys racing drawing areas too.
12:46
Kiley McDaniel: Well he likewise got a well above slot bonus and he also has a bringing that some crews time wont offer big-hearted bonuses for, so he had less consensus than most accomplished college pitchers
12:47
Eddie: I have not encountered an updated kotah higher-rankings from you guys. Will you be doing this for 2019?
12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: Chris Mitchell made KATOH with him to( redacted)
12:47
Marc: No Johnny Lasagna cherish despite the blinks he testified in the majors? Really wondering what would put him from a 50 FV to a 45+
12:47
Eric A Longenhagen: all the shoulder trash, pretty clear in the NYY writeup
12:49
Chris: Was Elehuris Montero close to cracking the list at all? Seems to have a good touched/ superpower combo, albeit 3b seems like best speciman scenario.
12:49
Eric A Longenhagen: https :// blogs.fangraphs.com/ top-4 0-prospects-st-louis-cardinals /
12:49
Eric A Longenhagen: I think he’s one of Kiley’s pickings to click for tomorrow tho
12:49
el Guapo: Thanks for all the job you guys do. Witnessing the evolution of FG from a periphery website for baseball nerds to something that comes referred to under every baseball program has been awesome. The magnitude of the prospect employ you do is amazing and maintain me coming back every day.
12:49
Kiley McDaniel: Thanks!
12:50
Mike Fetters: If Baez is the high-pitched aspiration outcome for Jazz Chisholm, what does a median outcome looks a lot like? Pre 2018 Trevor Story? Jazz is perhaps the most interesting promise to me on this list.
12:50
Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t think Baez is a possible sequel, just think Jazz fluctuates otu of his ass like Javy does.
12:52
Roger: What might an outcome probability distribution looks a lot like for Dustin May vs Luis Patino?
12:52
Eric A Longenhagen: that’s a thoughtful question but there’s an answer for it on the 100 essay already
12:52
Fritz Ferter: Logan Gilbert is back end 100 if he indicates velocity return and bidding? Yay or nay?
12:52
Eric A Longenhagen: yay
12:53
Mister Baseball Man: Holy high guys on Kebryan Hayes! Is the expectation that he will eventually be an above median farmer on pique, or is the defense simply that good?
12:53
Eric A Longenhagen: we think there’s possibilities of both, just like with Pache
12:53
Bitter Fan: Why do you detest my crew( s )?
12:53
Kiley McDaniel: ugh, pull up a chair dude
12:53
Jeff: Thank you for taking the time and great efforts to put together such a scrupulous prospect parcel !!
12:54
Anthony: Not a top 100 question, but can Andrew Vaughn extend 70 punch, 55 play dominance?
12:54
Kiley McDaniel: Emphatically possible, possibly more 60 hit with good sheet restraint, which are likely to end up frisking how you think a 70 ten-strike implement would
12:55
LudeBurger: I love you all( you too, Sean and Meg !) for this list. I hate you all for meeting my day perfectly unproductive.
12:55
Mike: How could you losers not include any Red Sox !! 11!
Kidding aside, great write up on Boston a few weeks back. Who in the lower minors could sneak into the top 50 with a strong 2019? Thanks for all the great work.
12:55
Kiley McDaniel: Triston Casas may have the best opportunity, but not sure he can get all the way to top 50 unless he goes insane, since he’s probably just a 1B
12:55
Random: When you say communicated it to teams do you mean you sent your index to every MLB team?
12:55
Eric A Longenhagen: no
12:56
Ron: What happened with Seuly Matias to beat him out since the last standing?
12:56
Walter Sobchak: Do you believe Kyler Murray is procreating the right choice?
12:56
Eric A Longenhagen: on Seuly: just scared of the K’s
12:56
Kiley McDaniel: It sounds like there’s a non-zero occasion he goes# 1 overall and the bet boundary is 9th or 10 th as the over/ under. That combined with lesser impacts at QB and I’m thinking yes.
12:56
Jay: Did Ryan Weathers time miss? As a 45+ or something?
12:56
Kiley McDaniel: Yes, was 45+ on drawing listing, just like Singer
12:57
Nancy Yost: Why was my potential rated lower then the other person I like less?
12:58
Kiley McDaniel: Being exasperated is just part of life on the internet and we’re clearly mad at you
12:58
faffri: Do “youve been” get notes from actual participates on the inventory about the roll?
12:58
Eric A Longenhagen: No and they shouldn’t worry about it. Even the guys we placed 40 s on we think are super talented and have a chance to be big leaguers. Pro baseball is super hard.
12:59
Mac: Theoretically, you would think that the average point in the bar graphs under the players should be the overall evaluate for the musician. Nonetheless, it seems as if this approach commits a lower FV than most of your grades. Should higher FVs in the following chart be considered to be in big forces than bust and 40/45 to account for this? Of trend this a very unscientific analysis of the data devoted, but I’m just curious on the self-evident discrepancy.
1:01
Kiley McDaniel: We made a weighted WAR figure to make sure our percentage peculiars built logical gumption with our higher-rankings. Through about the top 20 it almost perfectly agrees with our ranks, then beyond that it starts to get really hard to perfectly capture every part of every musician and have an algorithm agree with everything. Like a person in rookie pellet has bonkers tools so there’s a high likelihood of an 70+ sequel. But is it higher than Nick Senzel with above norm to plus tools in Triple-A? Possibly not. What about a guy with above avergae tools in Double-A? All the various ways to break it down come more difficult the lower down “theres going”, but it’s pretty clear on the top 20 -2 5 or so.
1:01
JP: What is it about Dustin May that you like better than someone like Casey Mize or Chris Paddack? Projection?
1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Vs Paddack: no gash record, better breaking ball Vs Mize: no harm history, proximity( though that gap may close soon) They’re all close though, obviously.
1:01
Jen: If “youve all” shred one pitch from Whitley’s arsenal, which would you scrap?
1:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Satisfy don’t oblige me( the cutter I suspect)
1:02
HK: Say you know that participate A will induce 20 WAR in his crew insured years and 35 WAR in his career, and B will 15 and 40 respectively, then how do rank them? What if it’s 20/30 and 15/45?
1:02
Kiley McDaniel: I’ve posited this to scouts and execs forever as the Aramis Ramirez vs. Ben Grieve question. Do you want to be right about the musician( but he hits his potential after his first 6 years) or is it you people want “the worlds largest” bang for the buck( Grieve extended nuts in years 0-3 when he made the minimum)
1:03
Kiley McDaniel: There isn’t a ” right ” rebut, but scouts pick Aramis and execs pick Grieve, almost every time
1:03
Annoying Chat Person: The project for the probable FV distribution graphs was to get us to stop asking you about upshot likelihoods, wasn’t it? Well represented, McDongenhagen. Well played…
1:03
Kiley McDaniel: Haha it was to convey information that “wed been” conveying…which could also be to got to get beings to shut up
1:04
Kiley McDaniel: or my friends that text me everyday about quirkies that Hunter Greene is becoming a a-one for theri empire league trades
1:04
Jay: Odds Hans Crouse is a starter long term?
1:04
Eric A Longenhagen: For me, way less than 50%, perhaps 20%?
1:04
PM: Any plans to add the health risks aftermath straddles to a sortable map?
1:04
Kiley McDaniel: Down the road, yes
1:04
YO: Did Tony Gonsolin/ Jeter Downs come close to the Top 130?
1:04
Kiley McDaniel: Both were in the conversation
1:04
Kiley McDaniel: Downs was a 45+ on the Reds list
1:05
el Guapo: How much does swing and miss in Tatis’ activity affect his placement relative to Franco or is that not really its general discussion?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: it was ultimately the thing that did it
1:05
Turtle Jetpack: If Mallex Smith is a prospect, does he sniff such lists?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: inferno yes
1:05
Bret: Can you guys share one identify that Kiley had to pound the desk for and Eric questioned, and vice versa?
1:05
Eric A Longenhagen: we’re getting a lot of these, Kiley. Let’s think of a pair and give the people what they want
1:06
Kiley McDaniel: lol I was wondering what your answer was going to be
1:06
Kiley McDaniel: I contemplate Eric was driving the Jose Suarez and Taylor Widener bandwagons, but I discontinued up participating him
1:06
Kiley McDaniel: and Leody Taveras
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: I’d have Contreras a little bit closer to Amaya
1:07
Kiley McDaniel: I mull I was higher on Ronaldo Hernandez and William Contreras
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: or vice versa,
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: and I demanded Melendez on there
1:07
Kiley McDaniel: Conclude I may be higher on Brandon Lowe than Eric
1:07
Eric A Longenhagen: but the the information received from squads formed me capitulate on MJ
1:08
Kiley McDaniel: I got a really good look upon Adonis Medina this spring but sounds like it was better than what most others saw
1:08
Kiley McDaniel: I propagandized on Lux a bit
1:08
Kiley McDaniel: I’m likely higher on Kirilloff than Eric
1:08
Eric A Longenhagen: yup
1:09
Chuncey Wiggins: Of the top 100 who has the most delicious clanging specify?
1:09
Kiley McDaniel: I pushed a little on Wander Franco and Royce Lewis but we dissolved up agreeing
1:09
Kiley McDaniel: BRUSDAR!
1:10
Eric A Longenhagen: def brusdar
1:10
Phil Diggety: What do “youre thinking about” Lazarito/ Beck? FV 45 on both?
1:10
Kiley McDaniel: Yes
1:10
Billy Beane: What’s preserving Luzardo& Puk from being 60 s? TJS history?
1:10
Kiley McDaniel: Mainly
1:10
Malloy: Hunter Greene FV 50? digit 1 pick with 100 plus on radar. perhaps i dont understand FV
1:10
Kiley McDaniel: Breaking ball isn’t fairly there, arm trauma sometime, guys that propel that hard almost always blow out, he’s not closely connected to MLB either
1:10
Chris Torres: Truly surprised to not picture Nick Neidert in your index of 130. Any insight into your thoughts on him and how close he was to your 130? Thanks!
1:11
Kiley McDaniel: Possibly the last slashed and may jump to a 50 FV with a neat start to 2019
1:11
Z-town: Does Denaberg perform the index if he doesn’t have injury topics?
1:11
Kiley McDaniel: Likewise possibly moves on with a half dozen or so good starts/ health
1:11
Fritz Ferter: Kyle Lewis and Julio Rodriguez refers “ve been looking for” mid-season if they start red-hot?
1:11
Kiley McDaniel: Julio is another to watch to startle, too Antonio Cabello
1:11
Kiley McDaniel: But I don’t want to ruin the whole collects to click article
1:11
Trent the frat bro: What’s the relationship between# of top 100 expectations and the quality of the farm overall?
1:12
Matt: When do you stop thinking about a young actor to its implementation of where they’d be on these lists( moncada/ amed rosario ). Is it as soon as they lose qualification?
1:12
Kiley McDaniel: If you read Craig’s research, 50 FV or better shapes up for a huge percentage of the overall evaluate. Hard to make up grind if you’re behind one crew by 3-4 of those top 130 categories with a bunch of 45s
1:12
Eric A Longenhagen: I try to keep my digit on the pulsing of that stuff and that’s what future prospects limbo patch will be for( JP Crawford, Dom Smith, Raimel Tapia, others who slip between the fracture of most public coverage)
1:12
Kiley McDaniel: like, you’d necessary dozens
1:12
Chase: Love the prospect week material- besides which J2 signee from last year has the best chance to see his reputation on the index, omitting Mesa of course?
1:13
Kiley McDaniel: Marco Luciano is the leading campaigner. Kevin Alcantara and Diego Cartaya are prowling behind him
1:13
Hans Crouse: Why don’t you like me ??
1:13
Eric A Longenhagen: I cuss we do, and I excavate your photorealistic tattoo
1:13
hans: If I’m looking for batters that impel potent contact, how would I sort the board? Kelenic seems like a standout in that cat, any other prospects fit this bill?
1:13
Kiley McDaniel: Raw supremacy and make tool concoction is likely it?
1:14
Kiley McDaniel: I had a friend as if we were able to set outlet velo on the board, but it’s so hard to captivate what a reader wanted to go in one count that isn’t just raw power
1:14
Bryce Machado: Simply scouting the statline, Mark Vientos of the Mets seemed to show everything you’d want to see from an 18 -year-old in the Appy. Power and ability to control the strike zone were both there. Hoping he starts the season in Columbia, what does he need to do to start the move into the top 50 in 2020? More of the same or is there something else you’re looking to see if he improves on?
1:14
Kiley McDaniel: Improving on D and play-act in a full season conference is about all we need. Huge upside if the D comes around
1:14
Kiley McDaniel: One Mets source mentioned Nolan Arenado wasn’t super different at this stage and that isn’t totally wrong
1:15
Franch Friar: Which promises did you “tweak” their dispensation of outcomes “the worlds largest”?
1:15
Kiley McDaniel: The MLB-ready ones, like Danny Jansen or Brandon Lowe or Yusei Kikuchi. The odds they bust and don’t put up a couple WAR seem incredibly low-pitched now and the baselines were 30 -4 0%
1:15
Baloney Bologna: How much does health factor into your positions? I am not fantasizing TJ type stuff, which clearly has a big impact on grade, but things such as Senzels vertigo stuff?
1:15
Eric A Longenhagen: TJ improvement rates are strong enough that we are only move chaps back located more on timeline rather than injury jeopardy. So if Johnny Curveball and Luis Cambio have the exact same nonsense, but Johnny is at Double A and Luis is in NYPL, we want Johnny. But if Johnny has a TJ in August and is out forever, by the time he comes back Luis will have a similar timeline to the big-hearteds, so there is a requirement to pretty close.
1:16
Canned Peanuts: Is the publication of the Aladdin trailer the reason for Will Smith quitting down the directory?
1:16
Kiley McDaniel: it’s not not the reason
1:16
Noah: Why the turn on Keibert v Will Smith. Last time FG was higher on Smith
1:16
Kiley McDaniel: it sounds like the dodgers were, as well. but carry-on and facing better pitching and change isn’t always a linear thing
1:17
Redsfan: Why aren’t you guys higher on Jon India? What am I missing
1:17
Kiley McDaniel: you are able indicate there isn’t a plus game implement there. could still be a 3-win chap, you’d just like to have more pro conduct or implement upside to truly shove a chap this early after being drafted
1:17
Jeff: Where is Christin Stewart?
1:18
Kiley McDaniel: The DH natures certainly get crushed this year, and we also adjusted more than we have in the past for TJ people as well. Evolution
1:18
CoCo: Does Spencer Howard have what it makes from a’ trash’ perspective to be a top 20 prospect at the end of this year?
1:18
Eric A Longenhagen: Stuff is fine, fastball word is what comes him into the 60 FV tier
1:18
Chris S: Carter Kieboom can’t maybe be a shortstop right? Right?
1:18
Eric A Longenhagen: perhaps not, but i thought that about DeJong, and Semien, and Daniel Robertson, and kinda about Correa and Seager. The standing is changing.
1:19
Mike: venerable poop! that list is incredible. You two friggin killed it. I can’t even take other prospect listings severely anymore. thank you
1:19
Eric A Longenhagen: that’s kinda cruel and other folks do a good job extremely, but thanks
1:19
John Lavigne: For how long do you think the schedule is dependable? If I’m analyzing commerces this May based on the higher-rankings here, is it likely I’ve missed important new data?
1:20
Kiley McDaniel: We plan to update it in season every month or so, so I’d like to think any large-scale movers will be adjusted by then. But, likewise, you’re probably fine to implementation this then
1:20
Draftnik: How open was Luis Garcia( Phillies) to inducing it?
1:20
Eric A Longenhagen: very close. remember, this is just a ranking of all the 50 or better FV guys, so anyone on a squad directory who is a 45 or 45+ is very close.
1:21
Nick Yost: But why male simulates?
1:21
Josh: How close was Nathaniel Lowe to cracking the top 100 and when do you witness him taking over at 1st basi for the Rays?
1:22
Kiley McDaniel: Likewise a 45+ that’s in the next 30 or so names
1:22
Ginny: If you were a GM, who are able to you preferably have in your right- Jesus Luzardo or Julio Urias?
1:22
Eric A Longenhagen: Damn, that’s a great question. I theorize Urias’ medical nonsense is a little scarier than Luzardo’s TJ, and they have comparable substance/ structure/ polish.
1:22
Mike Maroth: Without devastating it, are there people from the” select to click” list that were on it last year?
1:22
Kiley McDaniel: I’m sure there will be a few repeats
1:23
Eric A Longenhagen: Wander Javier!
1:23
Josh Ock: With 30 DHs am I a viable regular?
1:23
Kiley McDaniel: More Ji Man Choi-ish for me
1:23
Kiley McDaniel: I wish we’d get some Wander Javier questions
1:23
Dave: What remained Victor Victor Mesa off the roster?
1:23
Eric A Longenhagen: we don’t think the ceiling is that high-pitched, more in the Almora range for us. Leave me Florial’s power.
1:24
Jonesy Whales: Ogling back, was the Quintana trade rational for both sides at the time?
1:24
Eric A Longenhagen: yes
1:24
Kiley Quips< 3: To answer you from last week I'm a guy! A chap who loves a good schmooze assassinate and the slews of prospect coverage you guys deliver!
1:24
Brusdar: What are my chances at has become a MLB starter? Scouts think there is too much effort in my bringing, but boy I propel a lot of strikes.
1:24
Kiley McDaniel: Not that much effort, really not fine in terms of dictation and we think he should expand the pace some, but the super easy forearm rate is beyond elite
1:25
I Use To Be Mel Clarke: Is Kopech’s upside genuinely exclusively that of a No. 3 starter?
1:25
Eric A Longenhagen: yes, we think there are maybe 6-8# 1 starters at any given point in time, that’s it. We’re not talking about SP1 for a fantasy team.
1:25
Vlad’s Dad: What’s the worst case situation for Vlad Jr?
1:25
Eric A Longenhagen: a compres of hyena’s each one of his hands and this is the only way collisions. 240
1:25
Kiley McDaniel: well. 240 with goes and 20 HR
1:27
JD: So Yordan Alvarez’s defense slams him path down the list, but what’s his bat look like to you? More likely to be a great DH, a good one, or an adequate one?
1:27
Eric A Longenhagen: On this DH valuation stuff: look at Nellie. That’s a 50 or 55. What are the probabilities Yordan is that good? That’s gotta be the high aim of what he can do, Nellie is astonishing. https :// www.fangraphs.com/ leaders.aspx? pos =d h& stats= at-bat& lg= all& qual= y &…~ ATAGEND
1:28
Eric A Longenhagen: Again, FV is mapped to WAR, so to say Yordan is a 6 he’s gotta be a 3+ annual WAR guy on average for his first six seasons, and I exactly don’t think he’s that guy
1:28
Robert: Would it be wrong for me to be disappointed in the development of Almanzar, Barley, Rosario and Arias? I reckoned one of them would make a leap. Ponder any of them can see a big jump in implements and act? Not a Franco jump but Pache
1:28
Eric A Longenhagen: too soon to be down on those busters, they’re teens
1:29
Turtle Jetpack: Imparted that Haniger is probably a current 55 quality musician, is it reasonable to expect he’d return two FV 55 promises?
1:29
Kiley McDaniel: He’s a 60 or 65 right now and that’s more a job for prospect asset appreciates, since a 55 with 1 year of authority vs. 6 returns acces different stuff in a trade
1:29
Fart for Bart: Has this hashtag been used?
1:29
Kiley McDaniel: little late bro
1:29
Walter Sobchak: Has D’Shawn Knowles moved ahead of Trent Deveaux for you guys right now?
1:29
Eric A Longenhagen: Yes but they’re right next to one another on the soon-to-be-released Angels list
1:30
Mike: hyena’s have the strongest bite in terms of distres per square inch of any mammal, so you it isn’t as far delivered as it sounds.
1:30
Kiley McDaniel: i’ll contribute this to the Vlad odds outcome so BUST now just says HYENA ATTACK
1:31
AJ: Brandon Marsh struggled at A+ last-place season. Is his prospect status wearing out?
1:31
Eric A Longenhagen: Nah
1:31
DD: How many 50 FV prospects would a unit have to offer for you to trade Vlad Jr?
1:31
Kiley McDaniel: So, exercising Craig’s work here: https :// blogs.fangraphs.com/ an-update-to-prospect-valuation /
1:32
Kiley McDaniel: It would be 4-5 to competitor Vlad value but I’m sure you’d rather have all that importance in one actor rather than 4-5. So the actual ask depends on what kind of dismis you make for making a multi player pack. Maybe 8-10?
1:32
Random: Did not realize “youre gonna” on modernizing this every month or so. That sounds like a ton of exertion, but much appreciated. Thanks for doing that!
1:32
Eric A Longenhagen: We won’t write this numerous names every month or affix a huge commodity, but this is what the Board is for we can shuffle chaps in real duration if we want. If I’m on the backfields and Michael Grove is 94 -9 8 with a 6 breaking ball, I’m just gonna move him and write an instagraphs post saying why.
1:32
Kiley McDaniel: and you guys are gonna like it
1:33
Kiley McDaniel: same for its consideration of the draft card, too
1:33
Safety Stegosaurus: It would seem suitable for Machado or Harper to sign during the chat with “the worlds largest” content to discuss this offseason…….. nope didn’t work.
1:33
Kiley McDaniel: Ugh now we have to write another 50,000 words
1:33
Rueben: Where is Dominic Brown?
1:33
Kiley McDaniel: simply missed the list
1:33
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s in the Mexican League btw
1:34
Doug: I have a big case of prospect tirednes. So countless rolls, so many write-ups. I believe I necessary the season to start already.
1:34
Eric A Longenhagen: College ball starts Friday, tribe!
1:34
Kiley McDaniel: I’ll be out to see Alek Manoah( WVU) this weekend, then UCLA comes to Ga Tech next weekend and some regional prep sorts like CJ Abrams also start today
1:34
Slothrop: What do you guys understand better Adam Brett Walker
1:35
Kiley McDaniel: 80 fresh, big waver and miss questions, penalty in left field
1:35
Eric A Longenhagen: Gargantuan power, has been working out at Driveline, I had a 30 on the arm when he was with MIN
1:35
Mike: Recollect the Jeremy Hermida Versus Nick Markakis debates?
1:35
Kiley McDaniel: Braves supporters are mad they didn’t spend some of that payroll on Jeremy Hermida this wintertime COLLUSION
1:35
Canned Peanuts: Best knock tool of someone who didn’t start the top 100?
1:36
Eric A Longenhagen: this may be incorrect but off the top of my psyche it’s Tyler Nevin
1:36
Tyler: Probabilities that Wander is a big leaguer as a adolescent?
1:37
Kiley McDaniel: he’s 18 in a couple weeks, so that holds us all of 2019( I’d say 1% probability this year) and all of 2020( I’d say closely connected to 50% ). Really should depend more on if TB has a distinguish/ need for him, or if waiting 11 eras into 2021 won’t alter their playoff odds mcuh
1:37
Walter Sobchak: Have you find any 70 hit tools undermined by coming/ defensive issues?
1:37
Eric A Longenhagen: “i m calling” this Josh Vitters Disease
1:37
Eric A Longenhagen: Regardless, I’m ready to call this things because we have other substance to write and I have to get my credential ducks in a row for this weekend’s college recreations in AZ. Kiley you wanna keep going or are you done?
1:38
ProspectNerd: Will there also be a fantasy index this year?
1:38
Kiley McDaniel: we’re gonna do a 2019 impact clause which is probably what you’re asking for
1:38
Kiley McDaniel: And i’m done as well!
1:38
MATT DAMON: MATT. DAMON. FV 80+
1:39
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, retain play games with The Board, do some independent study with all these slant rates you guys: https :// www.fangraphs.com/ prospects/ the-board/ 2019 -prospect-list? sort =…
1:39
Kiley McDaniel: Witness you parties next week, thanks for read!
1:39
Eric A Longenhagen: Thanks for coming, everyone. Hope you’re experiencing prospect week and our offseason analysis. AL West is our next subdivision for the team inventories. Have a great week!
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